Postdoc Modelling Social Tipping Points for the Energy Transition

Postdoc Modelling Social Tipping Points for the Energy Transition

Working at the UvA

Join us!

Help build the next generation of computational models that reveal when society tips toward sustainable change – and when it stalls. In COMTIP (Computational Modelling of Social Tipping Points), a collaboration between the University of Amsterdam and RIVM (the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment), you will lead the methodology and software development at the core of the project: models that don’t just predict, but identify the mechanisms, leverage points, and reversals behind social tipping points – in other words, where, when, and how an intervention actually works, and where it can backfire. Methodology is the heart of the role; the energy transition is the first real-world testbed, and your methods are built to transfer across domains. You will combine agent-based, network, and information-theoretic approaches with stakeholder-driven causal structures, and join an interdisciplinary team at the University of Amsterdam working at the interface of complexity science, behavioural science, and policy together with RIVM, the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment.

Working at the UvA

Join us!

Help build the next generation of computational models that reveal when society tips toward sustainable change – and when it stalls. In COMTIP (Computational Modelling of Social Tipping Points), a collaboration between the University of Amsterdam and RIVM (the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment), you will lead the methodology and software development at the core of the project: models that don’t just predict, but identify the mechanisms, leverage points, and reversals behind social tipping points – in other words, where, when, and how an intervention actually works, and where it can backfire. Methodology is the heart of the role; the energy transition is the first real-world testbed, and your methods are built to transfer across domains. You will combine agent-based, network, and information-theoretic approaches with stakeholder-driven causal structures, and join an interdisciplinary team at the University of Amsterdam working at the interface of complexity science, behavioural science, and policy together with RIVM, the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment.

All about this vacancy

This is what you will do

As a postdoctoral researcher, you will take primary responsibility for the methodology and software development at the heart of COMTIP. You will develop and refine agent-based, network, and dynamical-systems models – capturing tipping points, hysteresis, cascades, and reversible dynamics – and pair them with information-theoretic and causal tools to locate driver nodes and leverage points: the places where small interventions tip a system, and where they can backfire. You will turn this into well-documented, reusable open-source software and reproducible pipelines, and help shape a visual science–policy interface that communicates model outcomes to policymakers. The energy transition is the first application testbed – how incentives and policy can stimulate sustainable behaviour, starting with technology adoption – but the methodological core is domain-general, with scope for a second use case in year two. You will work closely with a PhD researcher (employed at RIVM) on healthy food choices and lifestyle-related diseases, integrating qualitative inputs (group model building, causal loop diagrams) with quantitative data, and you will help bridge complexity-science knowledge from the UvA into RIVM. You are expected to take an active role in team activities, from seminars and stakeholder workshops to collaborative papers and grants.

Tasks and responsibilities:

The list of tasks is not exhaustive and covers aspects of the project that may or may not be taken on by the Postdoc. If there are skills you already have or would like to develop, or a topic you are particularly interested in, please mention these in your motivation.

  • Develop and refine agent-based, mean-field, network, and dynamical-systems models of collective behaviour, capturing tipping points, hysteresis, cascades, heterogeneous preferences, and reversible dynamics
  • Apply information-theoretic, network, and causal tools to detect tipping points and identify causal driver nodes and leverage points — where, when, and how an intervention shifts (or backfires on) collective behaviour
  • Formulate and validate computational methods to detect, analyse, and test social tipping points, and define when a model is “fit for purpose” for diffusion and intervention analysis
  • Design and maintain well-documented, reusable, preferably open-source scientific software and high-performance simulation tools (e.g., parallelised agent-based models) with reproducible pipelines
  • Help shape a visual science–policy / simulation interface that communicates model outcomes to policymakers and stakeholders
  • Integrate diverse data sources and local contextual factors (economic, social, urban) with psychological factors, combining quantitative data with qualitative insights from group model building and causal loop diagrams (with room to develop these skills if they are new to you)
  • Contribute to the design and analysis of discrete-choice (conjoint) experiments and survey measures that parameterise and validate the models
  • Demonstrate the framework on the energy transition testbed (incentives and policy for sustainable technology adoption), with the option of a second use case after year 1
  • Collaborate with the RIVM PhD researcher and facilitate reciprocal knowledge exchange between POLDER/IAS and RIVM, including a secondment at RIVM of at least one day per week
  • Publish in peer-reviewed journals, present at international conferences, and engage in science communication and public outreach
  • Contribute to team activities at CSL and POLDER/IAS (workshops, seminars) and collaborative papers and grants
  • Stimulate the collaboration with RIVM
  • Assist in teaching and supervision (e.g., tutorials, MSc/BSc projects) in consultation with the group, within the MSc Computational Science and MSc Complex Systems and Policy programmes

What we ask of you

  • A completed PhD in computational science, (computational) social science, complexity or network science, computer science, physics, applied mathematics, or a closely related field
  • You have experience translating behavioural responses into computational models
  • You can translate messy real-world questions into clear model assumptions and testable mechanisms, with a focus on explaining why a pattern arises, not only predicting it
  • Demonstrable experience with quantitative analysis and scientific programming (e.g., Python and/or R; compiled or lower-level languages such as C++, Cython, or Nim are a plus)
  • Demonstrable open-source software experience, or evidence of maintaining large software repositories, is a strong plus.
  • You communicate clearly in spoken and written English and can write publishable academic texts
  • Understanding of Dutch is a plus.
  • You collaborate well in an interdisciplinary team and can work effectively with policy stakeholders
  • Domain experience in the energy transition is welcome but not required: the role is methodology-first, and strong tipping-point and complex-systems expertise from any application area (e.g., health, ecology, governance, social or biological systems) transfers directly
  • It is a plus if you additionally have experience with agent-based / diffusion modelling, information theory, network science, dynamical systems, complex contagion / threshold models and hysteresis, causal discovery, simulation-based inference, computational economics, discrete-choice modelling, group model building / causal loop diagrams, and/or data visualisation and science-policy interfaces

This is what we offer you

We offer a temporary employment contract for 38 hours per week for a period of a year with a probationary period of two months. The preferred starting date is November 1st, 2026, but it can be discussed.

The gross monthly salary, based on 38 hours per week and dependent on relevant experience, ranges between € 3,546 to € 5,538 (scale 10) This does not include 8% holiday allowance and 8,3% year-end allowance. The UFO profile Onderzoeker 4 is applicable. A favourable tax agreement, the ‘30% ruling’, may apply to non-Dutch applicants. The Collective Labour Agreement of Universities of the Netherlands is applicable.

Curious about our extensive secondary benefits package? You can read more about it here.

All about this vacancy

This is what you will do

As a postdoctoral researcher, you will take primary responsibility for the methodology and software development at the heart of COMTIP. You will develop and refine agent-based, network, and dynamical-systems models – capturing tipping points, hysteresis, cascades, and reversible dynamics – and pair them with information-theoretic and causal tools to locate driver nodes and leverage points: the places where small interventions tip a system, and where they can backfire. You will turn this into well-documented, reusable open-source software and reproducible pipelines, and help shape a visual science–policy interface that communicates model outcomes to policymakers. The energy transition is the first application testbed – how incentives and policy can stimulate sustainable behaviour, starting with technology adoption – but the methodological core is domain-general, with scope for a second use case in year two. You will work closely with a PhD researcher (employed at RIVM) on healthy food choices and lifestyle-related diseases, integrating qualitative inputs (group model building, causal loop diagrams) with quantitative data, and you will help bridge complexity-science knowledge from the UvA into RIVM. You are expected to take an active role in team activities, from seminars and stakeholder workshops to collaborative papers and grants.

Tasks and responsibilities:

The list of tasks is not exhaustive and covers aspects of the project that may or may not be taken on by the Postdoc. If there are skills you already have or would like to develop, or a topic you are particularly interested in, please mention these in your motivation.

  • Develop and refine agent-based, mean-field, network, and dynamical-systems models of collective behaviour, capturing tipping points, hysteresis, cascades, heterogeneous preferences, and reversible dynamics
  • Apply information-theoretic, network, and causal tools to detect tipping points and identify causal driver nodes and leverage points — where, when, and how an intervention shifts (or backfires on) collective behaviour
  • Formulate and validate computational methods to detect, analyse, and test social tipping points, and define when a model is “fit for purpose” for diffusion and intervention analysis
  • Design and maintain well-documented, reusable, preferably open-source scientific software and high-performance simulation tools (e.g., parallelised agent-based models) with reproducible pipelines
  • Help shape a visual science–policy / simulation interface that communicates model outcomes to policymakers and stakeholders
  • Integrate diverse data sources and local contextual factors (economic, social, urban) with psychological factors, combining quantitative data with qualitative insights from group model building and causal loop diagrams (with room to develop these skills if they are new to you)
  • Contribute to the design and analysis of discrete-choice (conjoint) experiments and survey measures that parameterise and validate the models
  • Demonstrate the framework on the energy transition testbed (incentives and policy for sustainable technology adoption), with the option of a second use case after year 1
  • Collaborate with the RIVM PhD researcher and facilitate reciprocal knowledge exchange between POLDER/IAS and RIVM, including a secondment at RIVM of at least one day per week
  • Publish in peer-reviewed journals, present at international conferences, and engage in science communication and public outreach
  • Contribute to team activities at CSL and POLDER/IAS (workshops, seminars) and collaborative papers and grants
  • Stimulate the collaboration with RIVM
  • Assist in teaching and supervision (e.g., tutorials, MSc/BSc projects) in consultation with the group, within the MSc Computational Science and MSc Complex Systems and Policy programmes

What we ask of you

  • A completed PhD in computational science, (computational) social science, complexity or network science, computer science, physics, applied mathematics, or a closely related field
  • You have experience translating behavioural responses into computational models
  • You can translate messy real-world questions into clear model assumptions and testable mechanisms, with a focus on explaining why a pattern arises, not only predicting it
  • Demonstrable experience with quantitative analysis and scientific programming (e.g., Python and/or R; compiled or lower-level languages such as C++, Cython, or Nim are a plus)
  • Demonstrable open-source software experience, or evidence of maintaining large software repositories, is a strong plus.
  • You communicate clearly in spoken and written English and can write publishable academic texts
  • Understanding of Dutch is a plus.
  • You collaborate well in an interdisciplinary team and can work effectively with policy stakeholders
  • Domain experience in the energy transition is welcome but not required: the role is methodology-first, and strong tipping-point and complex-systems expertise from any application area (e.g., health, ecology, governance, social or biological systems) transfers directly
  • It is a plus if you additionally have experience with agent-based / diffusion modelling, information theory, network science, dynamical systems, complex contagion / threshold models and hysteresis, causal discovery, simulation-based inference, computational economics, discrete-choice modelling, group model building / causal loop diagrams, and/or data visualisation and science-policy interfaces

This is what we offer you

We offer a temporary employment contract for 38 hours per week for a period of a year with a probationary period of two months. The preferred starting date is November 1st, 2026, but it can be discussed.

The gross monthly salary, based on 38 hours per week and dependent on relevant experience, ranges between € 3,546 to € 5,538 (scale 10) This does not include 8% holiday allowance and 8,3% year-end allowance. The UFO profile Onderzoeker 4 is applicable. A favourable tax agreement, the ‘30% ruling’, may apply to non-Dutch applicants. The Collective Labour Agreement of Universities of the Netherlands is applicable.

Curious about our extensive secondary benefits package? You can read more about it here.

Your place at the UvA

You will work in this team

The Faculty of Science has a student body of around 8,000, as well as 1,800 members of staff working in education, research or support services. Researchers and students at the Faculty of Science are fascinated by every aspect of how the world works, be it elementary particles, the birth of the universe or the functioning of the brain.

You will work at the Computational Science Lab, under the supervisions of dr. Michael Lees and dr. Vítor V. Vasconcelos, embedded in the Informatics Institute (IvI) and POLDER at the Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) to connect complexity science to policy and societal impact. The project is carried out in close collaboration with RIVM, the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. Want to know more about our organisation? Read more about working at the University of Amsterdam.

More about the UvA

The University of Amsterdam is ambitious, creative and committed. An inspiration to students since 1632, a vanguard player in international science and a partner in innovation.
The University of Amsterdam is the largest university in the Netherlands, with the broadest range of courses on offer. An intellectual hub with 42,000 students, 6,000 staff and 3,000 PhD students. Connected by a culture of curiosity.

Your place at the UvA

This is where you will be working

You will work in this team

The Faculty of Science has a student body of around 8,000, as well as 1,800 members of staff working in education, research or support services. Researchers and students at the Faculty of Science are fascinated by every aspect of how the world works, be it elementary particles, the birth of the universe or the functioning of the brain.

You will work at the Computational Science Lab, under the supervisions of dr. Michael Lees and dr. Vítor V. Vasconcelos, embedded in the Informatics Institute (IvI) and POLDER at the Institute for Advanced Study (IAS) to connect complexity science to policy and societal impact. The project is carried out in close collaboration with RIVM, the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment. Want to know more about our organisation? Read more about working at the University of Amsterdam.

More about the UvA

The University of Amsterdam is ambitious, creative and committed. An inspiration to students since 1632, a vanguard player in international science and a partner in innovation.
The University of Amsterdam is the largest university in the Netherlands, with the broadest range of courses on offer. An intellectual hub with 42,000 students, 6,000 staff and 3,000 PhD students. Connected by a culture of curiosity.

Important to know

Your application & contact

If you feel the profile fits you, and you are interested in the job, we look forward to receiving your application. You can apply online via the red button. We accept applications until and including 15/08/2026. The dates of the interview rounds will be communicated to shortlisted candidates and may be subject to change.

If you have any questions or require additional information, please contact dr. Michael Lees, Associate Professor at the Computational Science Lab.

Applications should include the following information (all files besides your CV should be submitted in one single PDF file):

  • a detailed CV including location and the months (not just years) when referring to your education and work experience;
  • a letter of motivation;
  • a list of publications and relevant projects;
  • 1–2 representative papers or a writing sample (recommended);
  • the names and email addresses of two references who can provide letters of recommendation.

A knowledge security check can be part of the selection procedure.
(for details: 
national knowledge security guidelines)

Only complete applications received within the response period via the link below will be considered.

If you have any questions or do you require additional information? Please contact:

Acquisition in response to this vacancy is not appreciated.

Diversity, Equity & Inclusion

As an employer, the UvA maintains an equal opportunities policy. We value diversity and are fully committed to being a place where everyone feels at home. We nurture inquisitive minds and perseverance and allow room for persistent questioning. With us, curiosity and creativity are the prevailing culture.
Studies show that women and members of underrepresented groups only apply for jobs if they meet 100% of the qualifications. Do you meet the educational requirements but not yet all of the requested experience? The UvA encourages you to apply anyway.

Important to know

Your application & contact

If you feel the profile fits you, and you are interested in the job, we look forward to receiving your application. You can apply online via the red button. We accept applications until and including 15/08/2026. The dates of the interview rounds will be communicated to shortlisted candidates and may be subject to change.

If you have any questions or require additional information, please contact dr. Michael Lees, Associate Professor at the Computational Science Lab.

Applications should include the following information (all files besides your CV should be submitted in one single PDF file):

  • a detailed CV including location and the months (not just years) when referring to your education and work experience;
  • a letter of motivation;
  • a list of publications and relevant projects;
  • 1–2 representative papers or a writing sample (recommended);
  • the names and email addresses of two references who can provide letters of recommendation.

A knowledge security check can be part of the selection procedure.
(for details: 
national knowledge security guidelines)

Only complete applications received within the response period via the link below will be considered.

If you have any questions or do you require additional information? Please contact:

Acquisition in response to this vacancy is not appreciated.
As an employer, the UvA maintains an equal opportunities policy. We value diversity and are fully committed to being a place where everyone feels at home. We nurture inquisitive minds and perseverance and allow room for persistent questioning. With us, curiosity and creativity are the prevailing culture.
Studies show that women and members of underrepresented groups only apply for jobs if they meet 100% of the qualifications. Do you meet the educational requirements but not yet all of the requested experience? The UvA encourages you to apply anyway.

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